Go Figure (chapter summary)

The unusual county-level outliers in provisional voting activity raise difficult questions about how and why large numbers of ballots were exported from some counties while others recorded unexpectedly high imports of provisional votes. Geographic and behavioral explanations are explored, including the possibility that counties near interstate corridors or state borders—such as Monroe and Pike—served as convenient voting locations for Pennsylvania-registered voters temporarily residing in neighboring states during the pandemic. Other cases, including McKean and Fulton Counties, present anomalies that are harder to explain through ordinary voter mobility, given their small populations and disproportionate levels of exported or replacement provisional ballots. While speculative explanations range from voter travel patterns to potential misuse of outdated registration records, the persistence of these statistical outliers underscores unresolved questions about provisional ballot administration and highlights the need for greater scrutiny of the institutional processes governing election integrity.